0xb8a5868f5fbfe4ab21b3a4e3b00fd3be826b671d
- Realised P&L
- $-45.90
- Volume
- $5.3k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $50.34
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)27.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch? · No | 0.280 | 0.545 | $38.31 | +$18.63 |
| Hyperbeat FDV above $25M one day after launch? · No | 0.420 | 0.785 | $10.72 | +$4.98 |
| Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch? · No | 0.270 | 0.275 | $1.32 | +$0.02 |
| Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch? · No | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.77 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.93at 0.460EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$12.56at 0.560Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- +$11.15at 0.545Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$2.61at 0.625Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$1.96at 0.610Hyperbeat FDV above $10M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-16 02:34 | Dreamcash FDV above $20M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.25 | $3.05 |
| 07-12 06:52 | Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.612 | $4.65 |
| 07-09 11:10 | Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 07-09 07:10 | Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.4 | $2.92 |
| 07-08 18:59 | Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.648 | $5.25 |
| 07-08 06:58 | Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.42 | $5.17 |
| 07-08 06:48 | GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.41 | $5.41 |
| 07-06 10:17 | Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.38 | $5.55 |
| 07-03 03:22 | Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.24 | $6.62 |
| 07-01 12:55 | Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.34 | $7.21 |
| 07-01 04:47 | Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.23 | $2.48 |
| 07-01 00:45 | Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.26 | $2.60 |
| 06-30 20:43 | Hyperbeat FDV above $10M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.6 | $7.44 |
| 06-28 09:28 | Dreamcash FDV above $20M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.3 | $6.33 |
| 06-27 17:16 | MagicBlock FDV above $40M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.47 | $2.96 |