0xb89009432F34c382DE17829C32bd1FD2118daC5d-1771836378495
0xb89009432f34c382de17829c32bd1fd2118dac5d
- Realised P&L
- $-0.71
- Volume
- $25.8k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $15.96
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration43.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)35.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on August 5? · No | 0.998 | 0.998 | $15.96 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.24at 0.988Will the price of Solana be less than $50 on March 23?
- +$0.22at 0.978Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
- +$0.03at 0.998Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 24?
- +$0.03at 0.997Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,400 on March 2?
- +$0.03at 0.998Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-02 06:44 | Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.004 | $7.96 |
| 06-24 06:48 | Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.004 | $7.52 |
| 05-27 07:13 | Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $9.60 |
| 04-25 08:05 | Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.01 | $9.80 |
| 04-24 09:38 | Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.008 | $10.00 |
| 04-23 04:15 | Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.006 | $9.78 |
| 04-22 06:40 | Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.007 | $10.22 |
| 04-21 04:33 | Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.009 | $9.99 |
| 03-23 04:46 | Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.972 | $607.50 |