T-shong
0xb8180dd27482fdbacfe110ecca2a547fdb97d5a2
- Realised P&L
- $-242.28
- Volume
- $8.5k
- Markets traded
- 114
- Open portfolio
- $11.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded114
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.75at 0.542Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5
- +$42.49at 0.318Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 22?
- +$41.40at 0.680France vs. England: O/U 2.5
- +$40.90at 0.591Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$38.63at 0.355Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 06:14 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 06:12 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.09 | $0.94 |
| 08-04 03:24 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.22 | $4.40 |
| 08-04 01:30 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.4 | $4.00 |
| 08-03 10:01 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0849056461 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 08:02 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 00:50 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.2199999164 | $2.00 |
| 07-30 08:45 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.1899999373 | $2.00 |
| 07-30 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.119999952 | $2.00 |
| 07-30 07:59 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.2729044523 | $5.00 |
| 07-30 00:49 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 00:48 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on July 30? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.29 |
| 07-29 07:14 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.56 |
| 07-29 01:07 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 01:07 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |