PolyBot

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Traders

0xb80c61643c632fb54f6abc556de9ad050117827b

Realised P&L
$-414.06
Volume
$22.6k
Markets traded
504
Open portfolio
$226.90

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded504
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on August 4? · No0.5850.985$19.70+$8.00
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 90-91°F on August 5? · No0.6270.900$18.00+$5.45
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C or below on August 4? · No0.6731.000$17.99+$5.87
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on August 4? · No0.7001.000$16.99+$5.09
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 6? · No0.5920.625$14.38+$0.76
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on August 5? · No0.6700.785$14.13+$2.07
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 5? · No0.6800.740$13.32+$1.08
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on August 5? · No0.6900.685$12.33$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 5? · No0.6420.765$12.24+$1.96
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 6? · No0.5980.675$12.15+$1.38
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 6? · No0.5670.575$12.07+$0.17
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 5? · No0.5070.505$10.11$0.03
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 5? · No0.7060.735$7.35+$0.29
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 5? · No0.7100.475$6.65$3.29
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 5? · Yes0.2040.195$5.85$0.27

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 20:18Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 5?BUY0.51$1.02
08-04 20:18Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 6?BUY0.58$1.74
08-04 20:12Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 5?BUY0.66$1.32
08-04 20:12Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 6?BUY0.57$1.71
08-04 20:12Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on August 5?BUY0.69$2.07
08-04 20:12Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 5?BUY0.74$1.48
08-04 20:07Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on August 5?BUY0.69$2.07
08-04 20:07Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 6?BUY0.57$1.71
08-04 20:07Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 5?BUY0.18$1.08
08-04 20:02Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 6?BUY0.57$1.71
08-04 20:02Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on August 5?BUY0.69$2.07
08-04 20:02Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 5?BUY0.62$1.24
08-04 19:57Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 5?BUY0.66$1.32
08-04 19:57Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on August 5?BUY0.69$2.07
08-04 19:57Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 5?BUY0.62$1.24