0xb80c61643c632fb54f6abc556de9ad050117827b
- Realised P&L
- $-414.06
- Volume
- $22.6k
- Markets traded
- 504
- Open portfolio
- $226.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded504
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$101.81at 0.139Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on July 12?
- +$87.38at 0.126Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 9?
- +$84.00at 0.160Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 17?
- +$79.19at 0.208Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 9?
- +$72.31at 0.149Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 20:18 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.51 | $1.02 |
| 08-04 20:18 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.58 | $1.74 |
| 08-04 20:12 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.66 | $1.32 |
| 08-04 20:12 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.57 | $1.71 |
| 08-04 20:12 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.69 | $2.07 |
| 08-04 20:12 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.48 |
| 08-04 20:07 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.69 | $2.07 |
| 08-04 20:07 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.57 | $1.71 |
| 08-04 20:07 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.08 |
| 08-04 20:02 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.57 | $1.71 |
| 08-04 20:02 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.69 | $2.07 |
| 08-04 20:02 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.62 | $1.24 |
| 08-04 19:57 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.66 | $1.32 |
| 08-04 19:57 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.69 | $2.07 |
| 08-04 19:57 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.62 | $1.24 |