rouchsng
0xb7bfaa2a3c8e845a43c1de7c71685a37ac9d6926
- Realised P&L
- $352.64
- Volume
- $22.6k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $49.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration79.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)97.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · No | 0.997 | 0.996 | $23.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · No | 0.939 | 0.956 | $13.23 | +$0.23 |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in August 2026? · No | 0.989 | 0.987 | $11.97 | −$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$278.93at 0.999Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?
- +$34.15at 0.971Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by March 31?
- +$33.67at 0.960Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 again by March 31?
- +$0.92at 0.957Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 again by March 31?
- +$0.85at 0.956Will Solana hit $210 in March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 02:22 | Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.9389999991 | $13.00 |
| 08-03 02:21 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in August 2026? | BUY | 0.9892893594 | $12.00 |
| 07-27 07:41 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.00 |
| 07-27 07:40 | Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $24.00 |
| 06-07 05:11 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | BUY | 0.9909999993 | $12.00 |
| 06-07 05:10 | Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30? | BUY | 0.9929999874 | $14.00 |
| 06-07 05:10 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in June? | BUY | 0.9949999948 | $23.00 |
| 06-07 05:09 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.989 | $10.03 |
| 05-06 08:13 | Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.20 |
| 05-06 08:12 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.00 |
| 05-06 08:11 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9859999807 | $10.00 |
| 05-06 08:08 | Trump out as President by May 31? | BUY | 0.992 | $13.00 |
| 04-03 05:55 | Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in April? | BUY | 0.9939999998 | $12.99 |
| 04-03 05:53 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.9939999998 | $20.00 |
| 04-03 05:51 | Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $16.00 |