AppleJuiceO
0xb7a9f5f490bbe5610e90ed4c5ed4606fa449a39e
- Realised P&L
- $-97.40
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $16.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.55at 0.630Will France win on 2026-07-09?
- +$43.27at 0.649Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
- +$40.84at 0.595Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
- +$26.77at 0.520Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
- +$21.39at 0.720Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-12 13:40 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.4199999985 | $67.54 |
| 07-11 14:34 | Will Nigel Farage win 50–60% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | BUY | 0.1199999808 | $5.00 |
| 07-11 14:33 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.25 | $20.00 |
| 07-11 07:50 | Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | BUY | 0.2199999727 | $5.00 |
| 07-09 23:09 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5674999988 | $58.92 |
| 07-09 23:08 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.5949999968 | $60.00 |
| 07-07 22:41 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.6299999991 | $75.86 |
| 07-06 23:49 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.7199999974 | $55.00 |
| 07-05 15:12 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.5199999844 | $4.00 |
| 07-05 00:18 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.5199999908 | $25.00 |
| 06-01 13:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BUY | 0.6 | $25.00 |
| 05-24 08:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | BUY | 0.4899999916 | $25.00 |
| 05-24 08:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | BUY | 0.5773465153 | $25.00 |
| 05-24 08:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | BUY | 0.5699998233 | $1.00 |
| 05-24 08:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |