0xb6D1d4E8825312055827C9A30812B36d3554F7Ab-1774357346241
0xb6d1d4e8825312055827c9a30812b36d3554f7ab
- Realised P&L
- $-47.56
- Volume
- $6.5k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $9.76
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: GNK Dinamo Zagreb (-2.5) · GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 0.410 | 0.395 | $9.63 | −$0.37 |
| Will Putin visit China by May 31? · No | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.30at 0.660Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
- +$7.50at 0.400Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?
- +$-5.00at 0.044Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 27, 2026?
- +$-5.00at 0.350Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?
- +$-5.00at 0.480Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 1, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 08:56 | Spread: GNK Dinamo Zagreb (-2.5) | BUY | 0.409999991 | $10.00 |
| 05-18 12:53 | Will Putin visit China by May 31? | BUY | 0.0027932961 | $10.00 |
| 03-30 13:07 | Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.4799999808 | $5.00 |
| 03-30 12:54 | Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31? | BUY | 0.3499999615 | $5.00 |
| 03-30 12:45 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 31-April 6? | BUY | 0.2946086315 | $4.85 |
| 03-28 10:43 | Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 03-27 06:42 | Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.0440779985 | $5.00 |
| 03-26 09:44 | Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.6599999954 | $20.00 |
| 03-25 13:32 | Will Russia enter Lyman by April 30? | BUY | 0.1785655193 | $30.00 |
| 03-24 13:11 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | BUY | 0.002 | $5.00 |