ETGYWERGE
0xb6a9bd89f9376103d1a7f8f659594af6f6a0545a
- Realised P&L
- $-27.26
- Volume
- $19.7k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $73.70
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration94.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.575 | $57.50 | −$25.50 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: Other · No | 0.992 | 0.995 | $10.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes | 0.045 | 0.122 | $5.44 | +$3.44 |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.002 | $0.75 | −$0.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$75.00at 0.500Will Solana reach $170 November 17-23?
- +$0.69at 0.998Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?
- +$0.63at 0.840Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on March 17?
- +$0.55at 0.160Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on March 17?
- +$0.46at 0.988EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 09:58 | Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 09:57 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.044999979 | $2.00 |
| 07-28 09:57 | Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.996 | $10.01 |
| 07-28 09:57 | Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.998 | $10.04 |
| 06-30 10:22 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.83 | $83.00 |
| 05-25 07:33 | Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May? | BUY | 0.998999991 | $100.00 |
| 05-25 07:33 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May? | BUY | 0.999 | $200.00 |
| 05-25 07:33 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.998 | $10.00 |
| 05-25 07:33 | Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $10.00 |
| 05-25 07:32 | Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 05-25 07:32 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $10.00 |
| 05-25 07:32 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 05-25 07:31 | 2026 Balance of Power: Other | BUY | 0.992 | $10.00 |
| 04-16 07:47 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April? | BUY | 0.998 | $343.37 |
| 04-16 07:47 | Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $10.00 |