xinss
0xb6a541d25b03a4180255b33115ffeedcb9804f4d
- Realised P&L
- $-145.18
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $50.40
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration37.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 5? · No | 0.997 | 0.997 | $50.40 | +$0.00 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24? · No | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$124.41 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.75at 0.994Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 12?
- +$0.39at 0.997Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 22?
- +$0.21at 0.850Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?
- +$0.10at 0.998Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on July 29?
- +$0.10at 0.998Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on July 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 11:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.997 | $50.40 |
| 07-30 11:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $50.40 |
| 07-25 11:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on July 29? | BUY | 0.998 | $50.30 |
| 07-16 13:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on July 22? | BUY | 0.998 | $50.20 |
| 07-10 07:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on July 15? | BUY | 0.998 | $50.10 |
| 07-04 10:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on July 9? | BUY | 0.998 | $50.00 |
| 06-29 13:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 3? | BUY | 0.998 | $49.90 |
| 06-25 05:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on June 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $49.80 |
| 06-23 17:55 | Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.8299999937 | $124.41 |
| 06-23 17:54 | Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24? | SELL | 0.82 | $125.47 |
| 06-23 17:53 | Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.8299999999 | $127.00 |
| 06-23 17:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 26? | SELL | 0.991 | $127.98 |
| 06-23 10:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 26? | BUY | 0.9988618618 | $129.00 |
| 06-16 12:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 22? | BUY | 0.997 | $128.70 |
| 06-15 11:15 | Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.6699999839 | $10.00 |