Dragon-Money
0xb65e864337d802429558110015daa1f1b93a3e11
- Realised P&L
- $-646.82
- Volume
- $85.0k
- Markets traded
- 462
- Open portfolio
- $386.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded462
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$250.00at 0.375Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
- +$236.00at 0.941Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?
- +$162.18at 0.030US strikes Nigeria by December 31?
- +$121.60at 0.106Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$93.40at 0.553Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-15 02:14 | Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.954 | $95.40 |
| 01-15 02:12 | Will Trump nominate David Zervos as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 01-15 02:12 | Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 01-15 02:11 | Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 01-15 02:11 | Will Trump nominate no one before 2027? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.20 |
| 01-15 02:11 | Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.014 | $1.40 |
| 01-15 02:11 | Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.016 | $1.60 |
| 01-15 02:11 | Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.016 | $1.60 |
| 01-15 02:11 | Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 01-08 09:06 | Will Trump deport 1,000,000-1,250,000 people? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 01-08 09:05 | Will Trump deport 1,500,000-1,750,000 people? | BUY | 0.9985276 | $49.93 |
| 01-08 09:05 | Will Trump deport 1,750,000-2,000,000 people? | BUY | 0.9988628 | $49.94 |
| 01-08 09:05 | Will Trump deport 2,000,000 or more people? | BUY | 0.998 | $49.90 |
| 01-08 09:05 | Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people? | BUY | 0.997 | $49.85 |
| 01-08 09:05 | Will Trump deport less than 250,000? | BUY | 0.9952454 | $49.76 |