PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Dragon-Money

0xb65e864337d802429558110015daa1f1b93a3e11

Realised P&L
$-646.82
Volume
$85.0k
Markets traded
462
Open portfolio
$386.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded462
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-15 02:14Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.954$95.40
01-15 02:12Will Trump nominate David Zervos as the next Fed chair?SELL0.001$0.10
01-15 02:12Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?SELL0.001$0.10
01-15 02:11Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?SELL0.001$0.10
01-15 02:11Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?SELL0.002$0.20
01-15 02:11Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?SELL0.014$1.40
01-15 02:11Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?SELL0.016$1.60
01-15 02:11Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?SELL0.016$1.60
01-15 02:11Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?SELL0.02$2.00
01-08 09:06Will Trump deport 1,000,000-1,250,000 people?BUY0.999$49.95
01-08 09:05Will Trump deport 1,500,000-1,750,000 people?BUY0.9985276$49.93
01-08 09:05Will Trump deport 1,750,000-2,000,000 people?BUY0.9988628$49.94
01-08 09:05Will Trump deport 2,000,000 or more people?BUY0.998$49.90
01-08 09:05Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?BUY0.997$49.85
01-08 09:05Will Trump deport less than 250,000?BUY0.9952454$49.76
Trader Dragon-Money · PolyBot