smallj8
0xb6152fd01273a78f1e74899c7a62f040a46a62b9
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $108.6k
- Markets traded
- 875
- Open portfolio
- $224.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded875
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.26at 0.365Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 10?
- +$11.04at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C or higher on July 15?
- +$9.95at 0.710Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on July 15?
- +$7.62at 0.270Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 19?
- +$6.37at 0.420Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on July 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 20:18 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.78 | $2.34 |
| 08-04 18:37 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.5144444444 | $46.30 |
| 08-04 17:31 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.59 | $29.50 |
| 08-04 17:30 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.47125 | $23.56 |
| 08-04 16:40 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.53 | $0.96 |
| 08-04 16:40 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.64 | $8.32 |
| 08-04 14:01 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.36 | $2.52 |
| 08-04 13:55 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.3834883721 | $16.49 |
| 08-04 12:35 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.39 | $13.94 |
| 08-04 12:34 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.53 | $6.61 |
| 08-04 12:32 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.681 | $34.05 |
| 08-04 09:14 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.29 | $2.99 |
| 08-04 07:50 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.61 | $22.89 |
| 08-04 07:36 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.5190266693 | $26.66 |
| 08-04 06:19 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 5? | SELL | 0.55 | $2.38 |