SDfgwWW
0xb5f1d9a290a94f6fbcdb7e35f8eb31f34605ae95
- Realised P&L
- $8.76
- Volume
- $397.35
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $10.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 6? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.565 | $5.65 | +$0.65 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.705 | $5.34 | +$0.34 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 1? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 24? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.58at 0.565Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 4?
- +$2.12at 0.510Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 30?
- +$2.02at 0.460Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 2?
- +$1.85at 0.650Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 23?
- +$1.74at 0.224Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 15:48 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 15:45 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.97 | $8.57 |
| 08-04 15:45 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.10 |
| 08-04 12:49 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.6599999604 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 05:35 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.2099999286 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 20:16 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.5899999675 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 20:15 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.16 | $1.52 |
| 08-03 15:27 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.2099999286 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 15:27 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.5499999633 | $3.00 |
| 08-03 15:14 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.83 | $3.25 |
| 08-03 06:23 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.42 | $3.74 |
| 08-03 06:22 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.5099999566 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 23:41 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.56 | $3.00 |
| 08-02 12:34 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.2243901689 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 12:00 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.77 | $5.02 |