PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

5514777522

0xb5883ae8ed6887873a54e844fb5134d8c9eb1ff1

Realised P&L
$-2.28
Volume
$10.4k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$0.95

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration48.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)23.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Civic Platform (GP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0030.003$0.95$0.19
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 27? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.15
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 20? · No0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 21? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.50
Will Roberto Fernandez be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on May 21? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-27 05:28Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 27?BUY0.001$1.15
06-16 11:48Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETBUY0.5$5.00
06-15 14:13Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETBUY0.5199999834$5.00
05-21 11:44Will Civic Platform (GP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.003$1.14
05-20 14:48Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 20?BUY0.001$0.44
05-19 13:39Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on May 21?BUY0.001$1.20
04-28 14:12Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026?SELL0.275$27.50
04-28 13:27Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?SELL0.2$20.00
04-28 13:04Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.39$39.00
04-28 12:48Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.17$17.00
04-23 14:05Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 23?BUY0.001$0.39
04-21 12:24Will Roberto Fernandez be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?BUY0.001$1.00
04-20 14:12Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETBUY0.1099999032$0.87
04-19 12:58Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETBUY0.04$0.86
04-18 13:37Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETSELL0.37$1.74