5514777522
0xb5883ae8ed6887873a54e844fb5134d8c9eb1ff1
- Realised P&L
- $-2.28
- Volume
- $10.4k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $0.95
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration48.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)23.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Civic Platform (GP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.003 | $0.95 | −$0.19 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 27? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.15 |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 20? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 21? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
| Will Roberto Fernandez be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on May 21? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.00at 0.500Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
- +$4.62at 0.520Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
- +$0.80at 0.200Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
- +$0.00at 0.560Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on April 16?
- +$0.00at 0.275Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 05:28 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 27? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.15 |
| 06-16 11:48 | Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 06-15 14:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999834 | $5.00 |
| 05-21 11:44 | Will Civic Platform (GP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.14 |
| 05-20 14:48 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 20? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.44 |
| 05-19 13:39 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on May 21? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.20 |
| 04-28 14:12 | Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026? | SELL | 0.275 | $27.50 |
| 04-28 13:27 | Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10? | SELL | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 04-28 13:04 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.39 | $39.00 |
| 04-28 12:48 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.17 | $17.00 |
| 04-23 14:05 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 23? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.39 |
| 04-21 12:24 | Will Roberto Fernandez be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 04-20 14:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $0.87 |
| 04-19 12:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $0.86 |
| 04-18 13:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | SELL | 0.37 | $1.74 |