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Traders

chilly99

0xb5836c39622aa685fcda6d0ef52b45c8802f939e

Realised P&L
$-408.17
Volume
$86.1k
Markets traded
276
Open portfolio
$173.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded276
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? · Yes0.2900.590$23.60+$12.00
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.7670.852$21.28+$2.11
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · Yes0.4200.685$20.54+$7.95
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4400.495$19.80+$2.20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes0.1300.185$18.50+$5.50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · Yes0.2200.315$15.75+$4.75
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? · No0.2380.305$15.25+$3.35
Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 14, 2026? · No0.2900.280$11.20$0.40
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? · Yes0.2560.305$7.63+$1.22
Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? · Yes0.3600.230$6.90$3.90
Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid? · No0.1050.103$5.17$0.07
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? · Yes0.0040.003$2.50$1.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? · Yes0.0320.044$2.23+$0.63
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by August 31? · Yes0.0800.070$2.10$0.30
Will Rafael Leao join Chelsea? · Yes0.4500.017$0.68$17.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 11:02Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.003$1.50
08-04 04:59Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.004$2.00
08-04 03:50US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?SELL0.15$7.50
08-04 03:49US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?SELL0.2$37.08
08-03 21:11Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?BUY0.256$6.40
08-03 21:08Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?BUY0.105$5.25
08-03 21:08Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?SELL0.25$5.00
08-03 21:07Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid?SELL0.121$12.10
08-03 20:55Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?BUY0.26$5.20
08-03 14:32US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?SELL0.34$6.02
08-02 18:50Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?SELL0.122$2.44
08-02 18:48Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?BUY0.032$0.64
08-02 16:37Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid?BUY0.105$5.25
08-02 04:04US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.52$104.00
08-01 20:39Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?SELL0.999$50.77
Trader chilly99 · PolyBot