chilly99
0xb5836c39622aa685fcda6d0ef52b45c8802f939e
- Realised P&L
- $-408.17
- Volume
- $86.1k
- Markets traded
- 276
- Open portfolio
- $173.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded276
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$322.37at 0.254US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
- +$150.24at 0.386Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Ursa - Map 2 Winner
- +$139.59at 0.540Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner
- +$125.80at 0.760Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner
- +$105.60at 0.110US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 11:02 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.50 |
| 08-04 04:59 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.004 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 03:50 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $7.50 |
| 08-04 03:49 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $37.08 |
| 08-03 21:11 | Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? | BUY | 0.256 | $6.40 |
| 08-03 21:08 | Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.105 | $5.25 |
| 08-03 21:08 | Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? | SELL | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 21:07 | Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid? | SELL | 0.121 | $12.10 |
| 08-03 20:55 | Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.26 | $5.20 |
| 08-03 14:32 | US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? | SELL | 0.34 | $6.02 |
| 08-02 18:50 | Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid? | SELL | 0.122 | $2.44 |
| 08-02 18:48 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.032 | $0.64 |
| 08-02 16:37 | Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.105 | $5.25 |
| 08-02 04:04 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.52 | $104.00 |
| 08-01 20:39 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $50.77 |