0xB52e00022a36a0fEa946458FBaEF2a91190c30eA-1770847546075
0xb52e00022a36a0fea946458fbaef2a91190c30ea
- Realised P&L
- $-75.58
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $20.93
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nigel Farage win 50–60% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.070 | $8.75 | −$6.25 |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.011 | $7.50 | −$17.50 |
| Will Nigel Farage win 40–50% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · Yes | 0.063 | 0.022 | $4.68 | −$8.81 |
| Péter Magyar sextape released by March 31 · Yes | 0.247 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.62at 0.610Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 10:54 | Will Nigel Farage win 40–50% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | BUY | 0.0634450323 | $13.49 |
| 07-15 10:53 | Will Nigel Farage win 50–60% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | BUY | 0.12 | $15.00 |
| 07-15 10:52 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.0349999987 | $25.00 |
| 05-05 12:29 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | SELL | 0.998 | $55.62 |
| 02-19 14:46 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BUY | 0.6099999961 | $34.00 |
| 02-19 14:46 | Péter Magyar sextape released by March 31 | BUY | 0.2475247525 | $30.00 |
| 02-19 14:46 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? | BUY | 0.0236352939 | $35.00 |