rogermal
0xb51a38109c7bf90e077578bdaaae75864e5467aa
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $52.5k
- Markets traded
- 793
- Open portfolio
- $46.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded793
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$137.37at 0.389Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?
- +$48.88at 0.415Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
- +$47.69at 0.208Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$42.26at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
- +$33.02at 0.282Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 7PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 18:44 | Will the US Trade Deficit be between $70 billion and $80 billion in June 2026? | SELL | 0.10725 | $4.29 |
| 08-02 18:43 | Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.05 |
| 08-02 18:43 | Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 27-August 2? | SELL | 0.15 | $5.40 |
| 08-02 18:43 | Will the US Trade Deficit be between $70 billion and $80 billion in June 2026? | SELL | 0.82 | $5.73 |
| 08-02 18:41 | Will ZoomInfo Technologies (GTM) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.17 | $1.19 |
| 08-02 18:41 | Will Kraft Heinz (KHC) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.11 | $1.32 |
| 08-02 18:41 | Will Ralph Lauren (RL) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.08 |
| 08-02 18:41 | Will Charles River (CRL) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.74 |
| 08-02 18:41 | Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee? | SELL | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 18:41 | Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 10,000-20,000? | SELL | 0.104 | $2.60 |
| 08-02 18:41 | Will Jung Hoo Lee be traded by the 2026 MLB Trade Deadline? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.38 |
| 08-02 18:41 | Will Microchip Technology (MCHP) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.60 |
| 08-02 18:41 | Will Mike Beltran be the FL-14 Republican nominee? | SELL | 0.16 | $3.20 |
| 08-02 18:41 | Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $3.20 |
| 08-02 18:41 | Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.30 |