PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

rogermal

0xb51a38109c7bf90e077578bdaaae75864e5467aa

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$52.5k
Markets traded
793
Open portfolio
$46.39

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded793
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will DRX win more than 2.5 series during LCK 2026 Rounds 3-4? · U 2.50.3000.500$20.00+$8.00
Will SanDisk (SNDK) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.1400.135$4.72$0.17
Will Jill Tokuda be the HI-02 Democratic nominee? · Yes0.9600.970$3.88+$0.04
Will the US Trade Deficit be between $70 billion and $80 billion in June 2026? · Yes0.7800.815$3.49+$0.15
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 51.0 and 51.9 in July? · Yes0.3160.054$2.21$10.72
Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.1800.095$2.08$1.88
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 15, 2026? · Yes0.1300.045$1.53$2.89
Will Manel Kape fight Alexandre Pantoja next? · Yes0.3900.435$1.30+$0.14
Will Tyson Foods (TSN) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.2600.051$1.02$4.18
Will seltzers with 5mg THC be legal on November 13, 2026? · Yes0.2700.205$1.02$0.32
Will Sydney Gruters be the FL-16 Republican nominee? · No0.0600.048$0.96$0.24
Will New York Times (NYT) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.1500.025$0.84$4.11
The Polymarket Classic: Winner · JR/Claire0.2600.015$0.65$11.00
Will Tarsier Pharma not IPO before September 2026? · No0.7000.016$0.64$27.36
Will DuPont de Nemours (DD) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.2100.025$0.49$3.71

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 18:44Will the US Trade Deficit be between $70 billion and $80 billion in June 2026?SELL0.10725$4.29
08-02 18:43Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 15, 2026?SELL0.05$1.05
08-02 18:43Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 27-August 2?SELL0.15$5.40
08-02 18:43Will the US Trade Deficit be between $70 billion and $80 billion in June 2026?SELL0.82$5.73
08-02 18:41Will ZoomInfo Technologies (GTM) beat quarterly earnings?SELL0.17$1.19
08-02 18:41Will Kraft Heinz (KHC) beat quarterly earnings?SELL0.11$1.32
08-02 18:41Will Ralph Lauren (RL) beat quarterly earnings?SELL0.04$1.08
08-02 18:41Will Charles River (CRL) beat quarterly earnings?SELL0.06$1.74
08-02 18:41Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee?SELL0.25$2.00
08-02 18:41Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 10,000-20,000?SELL0.104$2.60
08-02 18:41Will Jung Hoo Lee be traded by the 2026 MLB Trade Deadline?SELL0.02$0.38
08-02 18:41Will Microchip Technology (MCHP) beat quarterly earnings?SELL0.13$2.60
08-02 18:41Will Mike Beltran be the FL-14 Republican nominee?SELL0.16$3.20
08-02 18:41Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 17, 2026?SELL0.08$3.20
08-02 18:41Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 15, 2026?SELL0.06$0.30