0xB50F6E6361bEd6cE71ae4EbB1be523292B9BE53d-1721125755981
0xb50f6e6361bed6ce71ae4ebb1be523292b9be53d
- Realised P&L
- $-11.61
- Volume
- $195.75
- Markets traded
- 85
- Open portfolio
- $16.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded85
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.09at 0.550Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
- +$1.23at 0.710Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?
- +$1.22at 0.766USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?
- +$1.17at 0.720Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$0.98at 0.505Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-01?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 08:40 | Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1480? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 05-05 08:40 | Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1440? | BUY | 0.7099999432 | $1.00 |
| 05-05 08:39 | Will the Republican Party win the LA-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.648999793 | $1.00 |
| 05-05 08:38 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.8469998721 | $1.00 |
| 05-05 08:38 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | BUY | 0.8599995356 | $1.00 |
| 05-05 08:37 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 05-05 08:37 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 04-27 11:00 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |
| 04-27 11:00 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.9869999891 | $1.00 |
| 04-27 11:00 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9789999883 | $1.00 |
| 04-27 10:59 | Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 04-27 10:59 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.949999525 | $1.00 |
| 04-16 12:59 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 04-16 12:59 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 04-16 12:58 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | BUY | 0.9869992203 | $1.00 |