PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xB50F6E6361bEd6cE71ae4EbB1be523292B9BE53d-1721125755981

0xb50f6e6361bed6ce71ae4ebb1be523292b9be53d

Realised P&L
$-11.61
Volume
$195.75
Markets traded
85
Open portfolio
$16.36

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded85
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? · Yes0.7871.000$2.54+$0.54
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? · Yes0.7301.000$1.37+$0.37
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · Yes0.7301.000$1.37+$0.37
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? · Yes0.7801.000$1.28+$0.28
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? · Yes0.8471.000$1.18+$0.18
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? · No0.8601.000$1.16+$0.16
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? · No0.8800.975$1.11+$0.11
Will Eric Pratt be the Republican Nominee for MN-02? · Yes0.8900.975$1.10+$0.10
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? · No0.9221.000$1.08+$0.08
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? · Yes0.9401.000$1.06+$0.06
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.9000.935$1.04+$0.04
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · No0.9450.979$1.04+$0.04
Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1480? · No0.9901.000$1.01+$0.01
Will the Republican Party win the LA-02 House seat? · Yes0.6490.015$0.02$0.98
Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5) · Penguins0.6800.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-05 08:40Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1480?BUY0.99$1.00
05-05 08:40Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1440?BUY0.7099999432$1.00
05-05 08:39Will the Republican Party win the LA-02 House seat?BUY0.648999793$1.00
05-05 08:38Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?BUY0.8469998721$1.00
05-05 08:38Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?BUY0.8599995356$1.00
05-05 08:37Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?BUY0.78$1.00
05-05 08:37Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?BUY0.7$1.00
04-27 11:00Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?BUY0.91$1.00
04-27 11:00US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?BUY0.9869999891$1.00
04-27 11:00US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?BUY0.9789999883$1.00
04-27 10:59Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?BUY0.95$1.00
04-27 10:59Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?BUY0.949999525$1.00
04-16 12:59Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.9$1.00
04-16 12:59Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?BUY0.9$1.00
04-16 12:58Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?BUY0.9869992203$1.00