PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Piccata

0xb4eff3787ad46ba7940602677e01de9e284b9333

Realised P&L
$-37.47
Volume
$360.24
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$3.22

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-10.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration38.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1500.037$1.25$3.75
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? · Yes0.0290.017$1.14$0.86
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.3300.055$0.83$4.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-18 14:36Will Trump visit China by March 31?SELL0.019$0.55
03-18 14:35Will Trump visit China by April 30?SELL0.39$0.93
03-09 16:28Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETBUY0.3290048318$0.98
03-09 16:25Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?SELL0.37$3.52
03-09 16:25Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?SELL0.991$11.35
02-23 23:57Will Trump visit China by March 31?BUY0.7229081152$20.87
01-12 17:55Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?SELL0.46$6.57
01-12 17:53Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL0.38$3.04
01-08 09:16Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY0.25$2.00
01-08 00:17Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?BUY0.75$10.00
01-07 09:34Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?BUY0.96$11.00
01-07 09:33Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?BUY0.2099999286$2.00
01-07 09:33Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?BUY0.0290000001$2.00
01-07 09:32Will Trump visit China by April 30?BUY0.8399996472$2.00
01-07 09:31Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.219999985$10.00
Trader Piccata · PolyBot