PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

ForGrandma

0xb44e0f9a8ad71086aa1c903f94f28fff0ca56909

Realised P&L
$-26.52
Volume
$4.3k
Markets traded
76
Open portfolio
$3.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded76
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026? · Yes0.2340.220$3.10$0.20
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? · Down0.9750.000$0.00$1.47
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET · Down0.6400.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET · Down0.5600.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET · Up0.4000.000$0.00$1.00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? · Yes0.0810.000$0.00$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET · Up0.4600.000$0.00$1.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00$4.96
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? · Down0.5400.000$0.00$1.00
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 30? · Up0.0850.000$0.00$8.23
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.8100.000$0.00$4.51
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET · Up0.3300.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET · Up0.7100.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 16:06US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?BUY0.2399998964$1.39
08-02 16:00Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2?SELL0.999$1.40
08-02 15:23Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2?BUY0.8599999574$1.21
08-02 15:22Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2?SELL0.15$1.27
08-02 14:51Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2?BUY0.2$1.69
07-30 12:20Targu Mures: Yelyzaveta Kotliar vs Mia RisticSELL0.89$1.08
07-30 12:18Targu Mures: Yelyzaveta Kotliar vs Mia RisticBUY0.8039999035$1.00
07-30 12:10US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?SELL0.21$1.74
07-29 15:52US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?BUY0.2299998945$1.33
07-29 15:51Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.26$1.37
07-29 15:50US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?BUY0.2299999492$2.49
07-29 15:50US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?SELL0.22$2.50
07-29 15:26US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?BUY0.2299999339$2.61
07-29 15:25Bitcoin Up or Down on July 29?SELL0.6$1.67
07-29 15:24Bitcoin Up or Down on July 29?SELL0.25$1.04