huazhuang
0xb43073bf0366df3d90707efa9367fcc7d11d6022
- Realised P&L
- $-79.35
- Volume
- $3.9k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $62.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 · Yes | 0.226 | 0.170 | $62.05 | −$20.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.73at 0.700US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
- +$7.22at 0.078Ethereum all time high by January 31?
- +$5.61at 0.900EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$5.21at 0.890Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$4.69at 0.890EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-17 09:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April? | SELL | 0.918 | $82.69 |
| 03-23 09:59 | EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.978 | $52.09 |
| 01-29 09:28 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | SELL | 0.994 | $40.08 |
| 01-22 08:12 | Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in January? | SELL | 0.982 | $36.70 |
| 12-29 05:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025? | SELL | 0.998 | $34.38 |
| 12-06 08:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9709999783 | $33.46 |
| 11-12 15:13 | Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in November? | BUY | 0.9656551441 | $12.58 |
| 11-12 15:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $135,000 in November? | BUY | 0.979 | $20.00 |
| 10-07 16:06 | Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October? | BUY | 0.9869999998 | $11.00 |
| 10-07 16:06 | Will Solana reach $350 in October? | BUY | 0.9759999992 | $20.00 |
| 09-05 16:14 | Will Solana reach $350 in September? | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $10.00 |
| 09-05 16:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $150K in September? | BUY | 0.9889999448 | $10.00 |
| 09-05 16:13 | Will Ethereum reach $6000 in September? | BUY | 0.95 | $10.00 |
| 01-06 16:20 | Dogecoin above $0.36 on January 10? | BUY | 0.8699999217 | $11.00 |
| 01-06 16:20 | Bitcoin above $97,000 on January 10? | BUY | 0.8599999984 | $55.00 |