PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xb3f12db253d4d3d67b10029bf981676fc82cf8c8

Realised P&L
$-14.39
Volume
$2.1k
Markets traded
174
Open portfolio
$58.12

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded174
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 3? · No0.7801.000$6.30+$1.38
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 4? · Yes0.4650.590$6.30+$1.34
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 3? · Yes0.1900.999$5.99+$4.85
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 3? · No0.9301.000$5.35+$0.37
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 4? · No0.9110.965$5.25+$0.29
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 3? · No0.9801.000$5.07+$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 4? · No0.9800.999$5.06+$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on August 3? · No0.9901.000$5.02+$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 4? · No0.7900.860$4.94+$0.40
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on August 3? · No0.9821.000$2.81+$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 4? · No0.9900.996$2.50+$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 4? · Yes0.5200.560$1.68+$0.12
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on August 3? · No0.9981.000$1.19+$0.00
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? · No0.4900.425$0.62$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 3? · Yes0.1600.001$0.01$1.73

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 00:58Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 4?SELL0.55$0.19
08-03 21:50Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 4?BUY0.7899996586$1.18
08-03 21:48Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 4?BUY0.7899999638$2.18
08-03 21:39Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 4?SELL0.36$2.10
08-03 21:30Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 4?SELL0.35$0.00
08-03 21:10Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 4?SELL0.34$0.00
08-03 21:02Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 4?SELL0.34$0.01
08-03 20:53Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 4?BUY0.7899996586$1.18
08-03 20:38Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 4?SELL0.53$1.77
08-03 19:41Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on August 4?SELL0.37$1.07
08-03 19:40Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on August 4?BUY0.4$1.16
08-03 19:35Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 4?SELL0.34$0.12
08-03 19:19Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on August 4?SELL0.44$0.05
08-03 18:47Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on August 4?SELL0.43$0.08
08-03 12:14Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 4?SELL0.36$0.01