0xb3f12db253d4d3d67b10029bf981676fc82cf8c8
- Realised P&L
- $-14.39
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 174
- Open portfolio
- $58.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded174
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.86at 0.262Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 30?
- +$9.19at 0.348Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 29?
- +$9.04at 0.333Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 29?
- +$7.16at 0.405Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 28?
- +$5.84at 0.040Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 00:58 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.55 | $0.19 |
| 08-03 21:50 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.7899996586 | $1.18 |
| 08-03 21:48 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.7899999638 | $2.18 |
| 08-03 21:39 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.36 | $2.10 |
| 08-03 21:30 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.35 | $0.00 |
| 08-03 21:10 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.34 | $0.00 |
| 08-03 21:02 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.34 | $0.01 |
| 08-03 20:53 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.7899996586 | $1.18 |
| 08-03 20:38 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.53 | $1.77 |
| 08-03 19:41 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.37 | $1.07 |
| 08-03 19:40 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.16 |
| 08-03 19:35 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.34 | $0.12 |
| 08-03 19:19 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on August 4? | SELL | 0.44 | $0.05 |
| 08-03 18:47 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on August 4? | SELL | 0.43 | $0.08 |
| 08-03 12:14 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.36 | $0.01 |