jiayou77777
0xb3dd0850118695555707f01e69a8644a32c481b2
- Realised P&L
- $244.31
- Volume
- $48.8k
- Markets traded
- 117
- Open portfolio
- $17.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded117
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$182.56at 0.168Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 3?
- +$172.00at 0.140Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 26?
- +$154.06at 0.240Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 19?
- +$128.00at 0.360Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 22?
- +$70.57at 0.323Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 15:34 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.91 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 14:31 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.95 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 06:30 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.75 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 04:00 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.5805460733 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 03:59 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.5699999966 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 03:26 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.7149950201 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 03:15 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.4479501173 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 17:55 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.7799999984 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 15:41 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.5579723326 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 12:40 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.4568627451 | $9.32 |
| 08-03 12:01 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.4899999814 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 11:59 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.0531974367 | $4.81 |
| 08-03 11:24 | Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.95 |
| 08-03 11:23 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.1104812147 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 06:14 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.262244898 | $5.14 |