z45
0xb3c79f4fc823ed4f49e5467d1aca881c0a6f7778
- Realised P&L
- $506.35
- Volume
- $12.8k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $762.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? · Yes | 0.133 | 0.115 | $701.04 | −$113.15 |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League? · Yes | 0.636 | 0.492 | $61.56 | −$17.89 |
| Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance · Colombia | 0.455 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$130.87at 0.537Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
- +$75.91at 0.666Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
- +$71.56at 0.700Will Lyon qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?
- +$67.21at 0.736Will the Sacramento Kings make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
- +$49.33at 0.507Will the Toronto Raptors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 01:21 | Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.13 |
| 08-04 01:19 | Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? | BUY | 0.15 | $305.34 |
| 08-04 01:19 | Will Lyon qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League? | SELL | 0.8000149224 | $324.35 |
| 08-04 01:16 | Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? | BUY | 0.1480462908 | $22.61 |
| 08-04 01:15 | Will Lyon qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League? | SELL | 0.8 | $24.00 |
| 08-04 01:14 | Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? | BUY | 0.1484711966 | $23.69 |
| 08-04 01:14 | Will Lyon qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League? | SELL | 0.8 | $24.00 |
| 08-04 01:12 | Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? | BUY | 0.1428395372 | $102.23 |
| 08-04 01:11 | Will Lyon qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League? | SELL | 0.8 | $108.00 |
| 08-04 01:08 | Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? | BUY | 0.1399804327 | $86.56 |
| 08-04 01:07 | Will Lyon qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League? | SELL | 0.8000956522 | $92.01 |
| 08-04 00:59 | Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? | BUY | 0.1298171646 | $14.13 |
| 08-04 00:58 | Will Rodri join Real Madrid? | SELL | 0.75 | $15.00 |
| 08-04 00:56 | Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? | BUY | 0.111 | $7.98 |
| 08-04 00:56 | Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? | BUY | 0.111 | $1.37 |