PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Straitofgibraltar

0xb35fdc054fca51705f61fddd0a6e5271f8733e04

Realised P&L
$-428.89
Volume
$72.0k
Markets traded
163
Open portfolio
$53.14

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded163
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration61.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0070.035$25.03+$20.03
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0140.040$16.60+$10.79
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0030.006$6.00+$3.00
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0330.033$4.86$0.14
Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0030.002$1.00$1.00
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$3.80
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$3.75
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$3.00
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$2.00
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00$5.00
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? · No0.1180.000$0.00$14.89

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-26 17:34Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETBUY0.1059883413$4.00
06-26 17:28Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ETBUY0.04$5.00
06-26 17:23Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETBUY0.209999974$5.00
06-26 17:16Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.0069905627$5.00
06-26 17:16Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.0334299461$5.00
06-26 17:15Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.003$3.00
06-26 17:14Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.0029999985$2.00
06-26 17:14Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.014$5.81
06-26 17:08Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?BUY0.0074127763$3.75
06-26 17:07Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?BUY0.0103871166$3.00
06-26 17:07Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?BUY0.0141282848$2.00
06-26 17:03Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?BUY0.005$3.80
06-26 16:59Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETBUY0.02$5.00
06-26 16:59Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETBUY0.04$5.00
06-26 16:41GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?BUY0.1181194522$14.89