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Traders

mnak3652

0xb358049aaff5b731abcae949a794e23a13164ba9

Realised P&L
$-26.78
Volume
$93.9k
Markets traded
62
Open portfolio
$9.33

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded62
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample45 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hyperliquid dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5210.370$3.55$1.45
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1300.036$2.81$7.19
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5400.505$1.87$0.13
Will Sui reach $1.60 before 2027? · Yes0.9500.525$1.11$0.89
Rockets vs. Thunder · Thunder0.5700.000$0.00$35.00
Lakers vs. Rockets · Rockets0.7800.000$0.00$4.97
Iona Gaels vs. Canisius Golden Griffins · Canisius Golden Griffins0.1820.000$0.00$5.00
Will Ethereum dip to $3300 in August? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00$3.00
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00$10.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.8600.000$0.00$2.00
Mavericks vs. Bucks · Mavericks0.5200.000$0.00$5.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 27? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$3.00
Celtics vs. 76ers · Celtics0.6800.000$0.00$5.00
Mavericks vs. Lakers · Mavericks0.2800.000$0.00$40.00
Heat vs. Wizards · Wizards0.1700.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-25 06:54Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5399999784$2.00
07-03 04:14Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.8599999656$2.00
06-28 08:34Will Hyperliquid dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5209152191$5.00
05-27 09:17Will Sui reach $1.60 before 2027?BUY0.95$2.00
05-14 02:19Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1299999902$10.00
04-30 10:45Celtics vs. 76ersBUY0.6799999728$5.00
04-23 07:49Lakers vs. RocketsBUY0.7799999813$4.93
03-01 13:59Kings vs. LakersBUY0.8699999996$70.00
02-24 03:17Jazz vs. RocketsBUY0.9099999992$60.00
02-24 03:16Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.992$2.5k
02-24 02:54Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.993$2.5k
02-23 06:57New Orleans Privateers vs. Stephen F. Austin LumberjacksBUY0.1199999808$5.00
02-23 06:56Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.991$2.5k
02-23 06:40Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.992$2.5k
02-22 13:24Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Marist Red FoxesBUY0.7799999944$25.00