0xnofomoclub
0xb319387e574d19df30be3ccb3eb1f99e4dc3bafe
- Realised P&L
- $-51.60
- Volume
- $720.20
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $1.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cambria FDV above $30M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.520 | $1.13 | +$0.35 |
| Over $5M committed to the Fabric public sale? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.70 |
| Over $7M committed to the Fabric public sale? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.20 |
| Over $3M committed to the Cambria public sale? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.13 |
| Over $4M committed to the Fabric public sale? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.01at 0.291Moonbirds FDV above $400M one day after launch?
- +$3.30at 0.500Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?
- +$1.90at 0.810Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?
- +$1.55at 0.320Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?
- +$0.30at 0.535Over $1.5M committed to the Cambria public sale?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-04 09:09 | Over $1M committed to the Cambria public sale? | SELL | 0.64 | $6.40 |
| 03-03 23:25 | Over $2M committed to the Cambria public sale? | SELL | 0.24 | $2.40 |
| 03-03 19:39 | Over $1.5M committed to the Cambria public sale? | SELL | 0.55 | $11.00 |
| 03-02 22:34 | Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.5 | $4.30 |
| 02-04 09:31 | Will Binance launch stock tokens in 2026? | SELL | 0.628 | $6.28 |
| 02-04 09:31 | Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.796 | $17.35 |
| 02-04 09:31 | Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.22 | $5.28 |
| 02-01 22:02 | Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.56 | $12.71 |
| 02-01 22:02 | Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.45 | $8.99 |
| 02-01 22:02 | Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.27 | $6.75 |
| 02-01 22:02 | Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.15 | $6.15 |
| 01-29 11:52 | Moonbirds FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.80 |
| 01-28 22:04 | Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $10.80 |
| 01-28 19:10 | Over $5M committed to the Fabric public sale? | BUY | 0.5599999912 | $12.70 |
| 01-28 18:52 | Over $4M committed to the Fabric public sale? | BUY | 0.879621731 | $20.00 |