wwashley
0xb2b19b6c0d77824ab0fd72942410ae720befb789
- Realised P&L
- $-6.75
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $14.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? · Yes | 0.413 | 0.335 | $5.03 | −$1.17 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.650 | $3.25 | −$0.10 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? · Yes | 0.485 | 0.475 | $1.97 | −$0.04 |
| Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.360 | $1.80 | +$0.00 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.325 | $1.63 | −$0.13 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 3-9? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.330 | $0.56 | +$0.05 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET · Up | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.40at 0.487Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
- +$1.15at 0.670Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30?
- +$0.70at 0.570US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
- +$0.60at 0.610US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$0.56at 0.613US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 07:01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August? | BUY | 0.65 | $3.25 |
| 08-03 14:55 | Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? | SELL | 0.22 | $2.20 |
| 07-29 07:58 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July? | SELL | 0.34 | $2.72 |
| 07-29 04:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 29? | SELL | 0.39 | $8.18 |
| 07-27 22:59 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July? | SELL | 0.549 | $5.48 |
| 07-27 11:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | SELL | 0.32 | $6.40 |
| 07-27 11:32 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31? | SELL | 0.36 | $3.60 |
| 07-27 11:32 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | SELL | 0.33 | $6.60 |
| 07-27 10:33 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31? | SELL | 0.37 | $3.70 |
| 07-26 13:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |