disqueloven
0xb27ff7ea57b0fb35166cb27137b218ceda5a0977
- Realised P&L
- $-17.74
- Volume
- $72.7k
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $70.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MagicBlock launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.882 | 0.772 | $26.26 | −$3.74 |
| Will Cambria launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.969 | $23.70 | +$0.70 |
| Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.795 | $20.32 | −$2.68 |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 · KT Rolster | 0.870 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.60 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 27? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.50 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026? · No | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.31at 0.810US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
- +$12.09at 0.915Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$5.74at 0.897Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?
- +$3.41at 0.973US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
- +$1.97at 0.840Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-21 05:12 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $16.00 |
| 07-21 05:11 | Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $3.14 |
| 07-07 07:35 | Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9669999984 | $19.00 |
| 07-07 07:34 | Iran successfully targets shipping on July 6? | SELL | 0.816 | $15.22 |
| 07-07 07:33 | Iran successfully targets shipping on July 6? | BUY | 0.9649999989 | $18.00 |
| 06-29 12:35 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? | BUY | 0.9583411398 | $16.00 |
| 06-29 12:05 | Will MagicBlock launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.8824604837 | $30.00 |
| 06-29 12:04 | Will Cambria launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.9399999608 | $23.00 |
| 06-29 12:04 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | SELL | 0.991 | $157.08 |
| 06-08 02:29 | Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.9 | $23.00 |
| 06-08 02:28 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.914717972 | $145.00 |
| 06-08 02:28 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $150.31 |
| 05-28 12:21 | Iran closes its airspace by May 27? | BUY | 0.0096153846 | $1.00 |
| 05-28 10:41 | Iran closes its airspace by May 27? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.50 |
| 05-28 10:41 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9769999986 | $15.00 |