feier
0xb26244283da18f8d952df5f0efdde8d8551c47ca
- Realised P&L
- $-120.82
- Volume
- $6.4k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $75.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Lee charged by December 31? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.050 | $75.00 | −$675.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$555.00at 0.500Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- +$420.00at 0.500Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$0.57at 0.840Will a Republican win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$0.15at 0.970Will Tim Walz say "abortion" during the debate?
- +$0.15at 0.989Linea airdrop in Q1 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 12:11 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SELL | 0.22 | $35.86 |
| 03-08 07:35 | Linea airdrop in Q1 2025? | BUY | 0.9885937719 | $12.90 |
| 10-01 08:09 | Will Tim Walz say "abortion" during the debate? | BUY | 0.97 | $4.99 |
| 10-01 08:09 | Will a Republican win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.84 | $3.00 |
| 10-01 08:08 | Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | BUY | 0.9419996128 | $2.00 |
| 10-01 08:08 | Will Elizabeth Warren win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.50 |
| 10-01 08:08 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.60 |
| 10-01 08:08 | Will Ron DeSantis win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.80 |
| 10-01 08:07 | Will the Falcons win Super Bowl 2025? | BUY | 0.9729999937 | $2.00 |