0x5cfAD0cABDcF57cefEC49e8AA1a9E5755507A4C7-1770991204280
0xb22f90fd95cad11bc4f8450803ca7ff12f324973
- Realised P&L
- $-20.60
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $195.67
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration90.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.429 | 0.506 | $165.38 | +$25.38 |
| Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.595 | $30.25 | +$0.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.73at 0.785Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.48at 0.670Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
- +$-2.42at 0.207Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$-20.00at 0.190US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
- +$-39.06at 0.640Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 09:55 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4890995096 | $45.00 |
| 07-24 09:54 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.197 | $47.58 |
| 07-08 21:13 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3989999978 | $45.00 |
| 06-28 07:11 | Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? | BUY | 0.5899999992 | $30.00 |
| 06-25 12:42 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.2069999973 | $50.00 |
| 06-21 22:14 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.39 | $60.94 |
| 06-16 14:43 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? | BUY | 0.6699999933 | $3.00 |
| 06-15 00:41 | Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7845084402 | $50.00 |
| 06-15 00:37 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4105360078 | $50.00 |
| 06-15 00:37 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY | 0.1899999939 | $20.00 |
| 06-15 00:33 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.64 | $100.00 |