0x1x0x1x0
0xb22381a877d4fb18d11a98d910cf821b7c9b163b
- Realised P&L
- $-16.17
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $0.17
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.007 | $0.17 | −$12.64 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 25? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 23? · Yes | 0.341 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.50 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.32at 0.378Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?
- +$3.33at 0.470Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
- +$2.95at 0.520Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?
- +$2.84at 0.150Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?
- +$0.98at 0.330Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 20:42 | Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.5799999787 | $9.81 |
| 07-28 20:41 | Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.5799999265 | $3.00 |
| 07-28 20:36 | Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $2.17 |
| 07-28 12:06 | Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.21 | $2.21 |
| 07-26 20:36 | Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $6.76 |
| 07-25 09:55 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 26? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.36 |
| 07-24 23:32 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 26? | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 20:21 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.09 |
| 07-24 04:38 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 24? | SELL | 0.58 | $2.76 |
| 07-24 04:16 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 25? | BUY | 0.3899999272 | $1.50 |
| 07-24 04:15 | Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026? | SELL | 0.77 | $1.09 |
| 07-23 10:55 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 24? | BUY | 0.4199999454 | $2.00 |
| 07-23 04:18 | Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.63 | $0.62 |
| 07-23 04:18 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 23? | SELL | 0.7 | $0.80 |
| 07-22 20:20 | Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026? | SELL | 0.69 | $0.18 |