hadca
0xb1fda0db84af54a05875c29b7703d145849ede60
- Realised P&L
- $124.33
- Volume
- $10.6k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $47.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration98.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.983 | 0.992 | $34.90 | +$0.30 |
| Will $ANSEM reach $2 before 2027? · No | 0.970 | 0.957 | $12.83 | −$0.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$127.74at 0.500Hurricanes vs. Capitals
- +$0.36at 0.900Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$0.23at 0.934Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$0.12at 0.946Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
- +$0.08at 0.977Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 21:42 | Will $ANSEM reach $2 before 2027? | BUY | 0.9699999993 | $13.00 |
| 07-09 07:05 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.27 |
| 07-09 07:04 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.9969999984 | $1.26 |
| 07-09 07:04 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.9929999984 | $1.25 |
| 07-09 07:04 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.9929999992 | $1.27 |
| 07-09 07:04 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.21 |
| 07-09 07:04 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.9969999984 | $1.22 |
| 07-09 07:04 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.26 |
| 07-09 07:04 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.9939999984 | $1.22 |
| 07-09 07:04 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.993 | $1.28 |
| 07-09 07:03 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.9859999984 | $1.26 |
| 07-09 07:03 | Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.9969998563 | $1.20 |
| 07-07 07:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 8? | BUY | 0.9889996071 | $1.10 |
| 07-07 07:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 8? | BUY | 0.9939999973 | $1.45 |
| 07-07 07:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.19 |