0xb1c8c0b0b1b7c318dc4d83e732141d2e1efe76fe
- Realised P&L
- $-1.83
- Volume
- $38.47
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $7.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio 88%-90%? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.220 | $3.61 | −$1.97 |
| Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio <88%? · No | 0.510 | 0.555 | $3.26 | +$0.26 |
| Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio 90%-92%? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.145 | $0.60 | −$0.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.01at 0.499Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 09:47 | Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio 88%-90%? | BUY | 0.3399999262 | $2.58 |
| 08-01 08:46 | Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio 90%-92%? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 08:46 | Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio <88%? | BUY | 0.5099999983 | $3.00 |
| 07-29 18:51 | Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio 88%-90%? | BUY | 0.3399999411 | $3.00 |
| 07-29 18:51 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.4989999207 | $3.00 |
| 07-29 18:51 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $3.00 |