PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xb1c8c0b0b1b7c318dc4d83e732141d2e1efe76fe

Realised P&L
$-1.83
Volume
$38.47
Markets traded
5
Open portfolio
$7.50

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded5
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio 88%-90%? · Yes0.3400.220$3.61$1.97
Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio <88%? · No0.5100.555$3.26+$0.26
Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio 90%-92%? · Yes0.2400.145$0.60$0.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 09:47Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio 88%-90%?BUY0.3399999262$2.58
08-01 08:46Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio 90%-92%?BUY0.239999856$1.00
08-01 08:46Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio <88%?BUY0.5099999983$3.00
07-29 18:51Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio 88%-90%?BUY0.3399999411$3.00
07-29 18:51Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?BUY0.4989999207$3.00
07-29 18:51Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.5$3.00