0xb1a05beaa4a9af37ccf7c77bb1781c5a48edd377
- Realised P&L
- $-34.11
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $12.06
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 5? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.036 | $5.45 | +$0.45 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on August 4? · Yes | 0.091 | 0.031 | $3.41 | −$6.59 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 4? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.055 | $2.62 | −$7.38 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 4? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.004 | $0.50 | −$2.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET · Up | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.68 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.78at 0.180Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
- +$9.00at 0.250Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
- +$-0.14at 0.310Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
- +$-1.00at 0.120Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
- +$-1.00at 0.014Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 18:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999378 | $3.68 |
| 08-04 18:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | SELL | 0.3 | $4.05 |
| 08-04 18:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | BUY | 0.3099999497 | $4.19 |
| 08-04 18:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 18:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $4.00 |
| 08-04 18:05 | Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.06730768 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 18:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.0329999937 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 17:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 16:55 | Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.1399999787 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 16:55 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.0238095238 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 16:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.119999952 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 16:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 16:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $6.00 |
| 08-04 15:59 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.2099999861 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 14:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | BUY | 0.2599999688 | $6.00 |