0xb1853b49C97274081b83A1DC6CE8653Ff111C857-1785354778107
0xb1853b49c97274081b83a1dc6ce8653ff111c857
- Realised P&L
- $-16.62
- Volume
- $702.13
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $14.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.710 | $7.42 | +$1.78 |
| Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.670 | $5.15 | +$0.15 |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? · Yes | 0.556 | 0.643 | $2.12 | +$0.29 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET · Down | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET · Up | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET · Down | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.12 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET · Down | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.21 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET · Down | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET · Up | 0.456 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.26 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET · Down | 0.840 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.17at 0.120Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
- +$4.20at 0.150Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
- +$3.17at 0.080Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
- +$2.12at 0.370Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
- +$1.16at 0.480Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 00:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | BUY | 0.8399999857 | $4.70 |
| 08-04 00:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | SELL | 0.28 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 00:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | BUY | 0.3455199799 | $6.17 |
| 08-04 00:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET | SELL | 0.59 | $1.68 |
| 08-04 00:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET | BUY | 0.3499998775 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 00:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET | BUY | 0.8899999858 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 00:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET | SELL | 0.19 | $1.05 |
| 08-04 00:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 00:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET | SELL | 0.39 | $0.82 |
| 08-04 00:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET | SELL | 0.56 | $1.10 |
| 08-04 00:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET | BUY | 0.4799998272 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 00:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 00:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET | SELL | 0.36 | $1.50 |
| 08-04 00:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 00:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET | SELL | 0.26 | $5.00 |