PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xb1853b49C97274081b83A1DC6CE8653Ff111C857-1785354778107

0xb1853b49c97274081b83a1dc6ce8653ff111c857

Realised P&L
$-16.62
Volume
$702.13
Markets traded
32
Open portfolio
$14.69

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded32
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample31 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%? · Yes0.5400.710$7.42+$1.78
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? · Yes0.6500.670$5.15+$0.15
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? · Yes0.5560.643$2.12+$0.29
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET · Down0.4100.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET · Up0.2900.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET · Down0.0600.000$0.00$1.12
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET · Down0.4000.000$0.00$5.21
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET · Down0.2800.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET · Up0.4560.000$0.00$4.26
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET · Down0.8400.000$0.00$4.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 00:48Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETBUY0.8399999857$4.70
08-04 00:46Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETSELL0.28$5.00
08-04 00:45Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETBUY0.3455199799$6.17
08-04 00:41Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETSELL0.59$1.68
08-04 00:40Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETBUY0.3499998775$1.00
08-04 00:38Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETBUY0.8899999858$5.00
08-04 00:38Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETSELL0.19$1.05
08-04 00:38Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETBUY0.1799998704$1.00
08-04 00:37Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETSELL0.39$0.82
08-04 00:37Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETSELL0.56$1.10
08-04 00:36Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETBUY0.4799998272$1.00
08-04 00:36Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETBUY0.5099998317$1.00
08-04 00:36Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETSELL0.36$1.50
08-04 00:35Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETBUY0.239999856$1.00
08-04 00:35Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETSELL0.26$5.00