EliesMarket
0xb156328a03dc54d3d74418302ed7ecf7071f2161
- Realised P&L
- $-257.31
- Volume
- $4.2k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $157.80
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.130 | $157.80 | −$48.71 |
| Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in February? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.10at 0.980Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" in November?
- +$-4.00at 0.058Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?
- +$-5.00at 0.440Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down - October 15
- +$-11.00at 0.760Will Google say "Antitrust" during earnings call?
- +$-21.22at 0.187Lecornu out as French PM by October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-05 18:46 | Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1706764427 | $196.56 |
| 06-05 18:37 | Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $127.61 |
| 05-30 17:52 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | SELL | 0.12 | $40.24 |
| 05-30 17:50 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | SELL | 0.14 | $4.90 |
| 05-30 17:27 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY | 0.2699999983 | $100.00 |
| 01-27 22:50 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in February? | BUY | 0.95 | $22.12 |
| 01-27 22:47 | Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election? | BUY | 0.389999986 | $10.00 |
| 01-14 17:18 | Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election? | BUY | 0.0582273099 | $4.00 |
| 10-28 17:52 | Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" in November? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.74 |
| 10-28 17:51 | Lecornu out as French PM by October 31? | SELL | 0.0282233082 | $3.78 |
| 10-27 02:01 | Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election? | BUY | 0.3499999944 | $22.00 |
| 10-27 02:00 | Will Google say "Antitrust" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.7599999945 | $11.00 |
| 10-23 15:27 | Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election? | BUY | 0.5347124766 | $25.00 |
| 10-15 19:14 | Lecornu out as French PM by October 31? | BUY | 0.1699999759 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 19:14 | Lecornu out as French PM by October 31? | BUY | 0.1754385965 | $10.00 |