PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

EliesMarket

0xb156328a03dc54d3d74418302ed7ecf7071f2161

Realised P&L
$-257.31
Volume
$4.2k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$157.80

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)12.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1700.130$157.80$48.71
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in February? · Yes0.9500.000$0.00$22.12

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-05 18:46Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? BUY0.1706764427$196.56
06-05 18:37Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? SELL0.15$127.61
05-30 17:52Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?SELL0.12$40.24
05-30 17:50Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?SELL0.14$4.90
05-30 17:27Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?BUY0.2699999983$100.00
01-27 22:50Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in February?BUY0.95$22.12
01-27 22:47Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?BUY0.389999986$10.00
01-14 17:18Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?BUY0.0582273099$4.00
10-28 17:52Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" in November?BUY0.98$4.74
10-28 17:51Lecornu out as French PM by October 31?SELL0.0282233082$3.78
10-27 02:01Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?BUY0.3499999944$22.00
10-27 02:00Will Google say "Antitrust" during earnings call?BUY0.7599999945$11.00
10-23 15:27Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?BUY0.5347124766$25.00
10-15 19:14Lecornu out as French PM by October 31?BUY0.1699999759$5.00
10-15 19:14Lecornu out as French PM by October 31?BUY0.1754385965$10.00