eleanorpenn
0xb125dd27f2f6dc3b223cd424c3cbcea0e531bce0
- Realised P&L
- $-556.12
- Volume
- $46.5k
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $38.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$83.14at 0.283Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election?
- +$40.61at 0.751Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 60% or 70% first?
- +$37.45at 0.750Will ETH/BTC hit 0.03 before October?
- +$32.00at 0.530Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?
- +$29.89at 0.520Will Bitcoin reach $123k August 11–17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 19:34 | Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 40,000-50,000? | BUY | 0.043 | $0.37 |
| 08-02 19:26 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 19:24 | Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 30,000-40,000? | BUY | 0.28 | $9.37 |
| 08-02 19:20 | Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%? | SELL | 0.492 | $9.84 |
| 08-02 19:06 | Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 30,000-40,000? | BUY | 0.28 | $11.05 |
| 08-02 19:01 | Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | SELL | 0.29 | $5.18 |
| 08-02 18:59 | Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more? | SELL | 0.8 | $6.40 |
| 07-23 22:36 | Dota 2: Level UP vs Team AION (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B | BUY | 0.67 | $4.62 |
| 07-23 22:23 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.50 |
| 07-23 10:16 | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.0168250951 | $0.49 |
| 07-23 08:54 | Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.09 |
| 07-23 08:52 | Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%? | BUY | 0.338 | $6.76 |
| 07-21 19:25 | Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 40,000-50,000? | BUY | 0.11 | $0.37 |
| 07-20 21:44 | Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more? | BUY | 0.5 | $9.00 |
| 07-20 20:39 | Will Rachel Reeves be in the Burnham cabinet? | SELL | 0.972 | $29.16 |