Victornettoyeur
0xb042e3359f51d724c1c0cad8e6b76e801d0914f3
- Realised P&L
- $-612.16
- Volume
- $2.71M
- Markets traded
- 4,799
- Open portfolio
- $130.85
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,799
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.285 | $101.22 | −$12.47 |
| Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? · No | 0.485 | 0.470 | $15.71 | −$0.50 |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.420 | $8.40 | −$1.40 |
| AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? · No | 0.150 | 0.105 | $4.20 | −$1.80 |
| Will Kelly Ayotte win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Republican primary election? · No | 0.100 | 0.013 | $0.68 | −$4.33 |
| Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 32 and 35 inclusive? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.006 | $0.60 | −$22.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.5kat 0.008Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 21?
- +$1.6kat 0.220Will Solana reach $200 October 20-26?
- +$1.0kat 0.590Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter Milan
- +$735.44at 0.817Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
- +$702.29at 0.825Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 17:50 | Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.52 | $10.40 |
| 08-04 07:08 | Will the Democratic Party win the PA-07 House seat? | SELL | 0.77 | $0.11 |
| 08-04 07:07 | Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.5 | $1.04 |
| 08-04 07:07 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.48 | $28.80 |
| 08-04 05:08 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $11.00 |
| 08-04 00:07 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $6.99 |
| 08-03 14:24 | Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.49 | $6.03 |
| 08-03 12:25 | Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.49 | $9.80 |
| 08-03 10:02 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $2.24 |
| 08-03 09:57 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $4.08 |
| 08-03 06:50 | Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.2 | $0.60 |
| 08-03 06:50 | Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $0.66 |
| 08-03 06:50 | Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.80 |
| 08-03 06:50 | Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $1.91 |
| 08-03 06:50 | Will the Republican Party win the IL-17 House seat? | SELL | 0.077 | $4.54 |