Johnrichards007
0xb042e2e56438ed621ba6fce57c26690c85636a59
- Realised P&L
- $-245.42
- Volume
- $3.7k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $0.88
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.013 | $0.88 | −$29.12 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? · No | 0.808 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$156.31 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.60at 0.093Will Giuseppe Conte be the next Prime Minister of Italy?
- +$11.54at 0.414Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
- +$-8.13at 0.032Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-20.00at 0.035Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-68.00at 0.198Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 09:19 | Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31? | BUY | 0.4599999939 | $30.00 |
| 06-30 12:23 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.019 | $11.88 |
| 06-24 16:38 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.032 | $20.00 |
| 06-24 15:22 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0349999983 | $20.00 |
| 06-18 15:00 | Will Giuseppe Conte be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | SELL | 0.15 | $64.60 |
| 06-15 16:05 | Will Giuseppe Conte be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | BUY | 0.092881281 | $40.00 |
| 02-27 15:17 | Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999932 | $59.64 |
| 02-24 22:08 | Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.8199999963 | $96.67 |
| 02-24 22:06 | Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes? | SELL | 0.4702447262 | $96.08 |
| 02-20 00:37 | Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes? | BUY | 0.4019607781 | $30.00 |
| 02-19 22:02 | Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.0988905959 | $20.00 |
| 02-16 21:28 | Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.3257952051 | $8.00 |
| 02-16 09:18 | Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.3407497141 | $40.00 |
| 02-09 13:02 | Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes? | BUY | 0.4205820149 | $54.54 |