orlsandtha5
0xafe816b3b3cf4b9061704da8f8ee7d6b8d294310
- Realised P&L
- $2.1k
- Volume
- $5.1k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $25.43
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar40.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XRP Up or Down - August 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET · Up | 0.500 | 0.500 | $25.43 | +$0.00 |
| Spread: Raptors (-13.5) · Raptors | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$258.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.3kat 0.490Raptors vs. Magic: O/U 220.5
- +$3.06at 0.500BNB Up or Down - July 23, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
- +$2.99at 0.440Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners
- +$2.65at 0.500Ethereum Up or Down - July 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
- +$2.65at 0.500Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-17 03:47 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.65 |
| 07-14 01:28 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.65 |
| 02-28 05:44 | Spread: Raptors (-13.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $258.00 |
| 01-30 09:35 | Raptors vs. Magic: O/U 220.5 | BUY | 0.49 | $2.2k |