0xafbfe530dccd97c9065a29e118a067cdc5016286
- Realised P&L
- $23.43
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $44.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.46at 0.080Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$36.10at 0.428Will England win on 2026-07-18?
- +$17.68at 0.550Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$15.38at 0.320Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?
- +$13.68at 0.628Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 21:36 | Will Liquid Win the Stake Pulse Beat 1 tournament? | BUY | 0.58 | $22.56 |
| 08-04 18:53 | Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs ALKA (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage | BUY | 0.6243231725 | $14.66 |
| 08-04 12:15 | Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 9INE (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffs | BUY | 0.7099999908 | $10.82 |
| 08-04 08:16 | Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Just Players (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs | BUY | 0.6899999901 | $7.70 |
| 08-03 23:44 | Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs GenOne (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs | BUY | 0.6299999806 | $5.86 |
| 08-03 23:27 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? | BUY | 0.4599999844 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 23:25 | Counter-Strike: ENCE Prospects vs Inner Circle Prospect (BO3) - United21 Group C | BUY | 0.4399999648 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 23:24 | Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs | BUY | 0.5699999986 | $8.00 |
| 08-03 23:19 | Counter-Strike: BORRACHEIROS vs ALKA (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Playoffs | BUY | 0.6299999811 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 23:17 | Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs paiN Academy (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage | BUY | 0.5499999961 | $7.00 |
| 08-03 22:29 | Will Shrek 5 be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | BUY | 0.03 | $3.00 |
| 08-03 18:11 | Counter-Strike: Keyd vs BORRACHEIROS (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage | BUY | 0.5 | $6.00 |
| 08-03 11:35 | Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs | BUY | 0.6199999929 | $14.06 |
| 08-03 11:34 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | BUY | 0.1699999759 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 11:33 | Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs ex-Young Ninjas (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stage | BUY | 0.6699999839 | $10.00 |