ytjdsagf
0xaf928bfd3c48403931658a8d1f75cce6bd95e1de
- Realised P&L
- $-188.51
- Volume
- $14.0k
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $169.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 August 3-9? · No | 0.998 | 0.996 | $119.70 | −$0.30 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? · No | 0.987 | 0.986 | $49.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.39at 0.410Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?
- +$11.98at 0.556Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?
- +$9.68at 0.710Daniel Penny found guilty?
- +$3.53at 0.977LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
- +$2.68at 0.992Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 07:11 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.998 | $120.00 |
| 08-04 07:11 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.9869999858 | $50.00 |
| 07-20 12:40 | Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9969999985 | $350.00 |
| 07-02 05:41 | Netanyahu out by July 31? | BUY | 0.9884185773 | $170.00 |
| 07-02 05:41 | Will Cape Verde be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup? | BUY | 0.998 | $200.00 |
| 07-02 05:35 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs | BUY | 0.9769999999 | $150.00 |
| 07-02 05:33 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9919999994 | $240.00 |
| 06-25 07:48 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $210.00 |
| 06-10 14:06 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $153.00 |
| 06-01 11:32 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9949999993 | $190.00 |
| 05-22 03:50 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.966 | $129.98 |
| 05-20 11:47 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? | BUY | 0.997 | $244.60 |
| 05-20 11:45 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.981 | $132.00 |
| 05-17 12:26 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $345.00 |
| 05-17 12:25 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | BUY | 0.984999993 | $120.00 |