Hnoz
0xaf8d99ffff5d6ae98fc47e101e725fe150bd602c
- Realised P&L
- $-1.9k
- Volume
- $4.7k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $118.92
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-40.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · Yes | 0.433 | 0.051 | $118.92 | −$881.08 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7? · Yes | 0.214 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$58.91at 0.629Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-28 21:04 | US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.4330543242 | $1000.00 |
| 02-28 20:53 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.56 | $1000.00 |
| 02-28 20:49 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7? | BUY | 0.2145977158 | $100.00 |
| 11-05 15:22 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.628999994 | $99.87 |