diehardpepe
0xaf85c93676290f09c0628f781a2eced00f1986e1
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $116.4k
- Markets traded
- 330
- Open portfolio
- $98.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded330
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$163.97at 0.050Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
- +$144.55at 0.063Bitcoin Up or Down on December 8?
- +$125.70at 0.410Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
- +$109.44at 0.200Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$103.88at 0.260Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 12:01 | Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31? | BUY | 0.0589395998 | $4.88 |
| 07-24 17:16 | Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $13.06 |
| 07-24 17:12 | Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31? | SELL | 0.11 | $12.96 |
| 07-24 10:40 | Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31? | BUY | 0.1090111248 | $11.46 |
| 07-23 07:28 | Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31? | BUY | 0.0933627567 | $11.00 |
| 07-16 13:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9AM ET | BUY | 0.169999976 | $4.74 |
| 07-16 13:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9AM ET | BUY | 0.3299999814 | $9.38 |
| 07-14 15:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.0083754108 | $2.09 |
| 07-14 15:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.0086679705 | $3.94 |
| 07-14 15:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $3.21 |
| 07-14 15:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 07-14 15:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.2099999716 | $4.95 |
| 07-14 15:30 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | SELL | 0.15 | $5.30 |
| 07-13 13:34 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | BUY | 0.1499999774 | $5.30 |
| 07-13 09:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.2399999856 | $10.00 |