PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

diehardpepe

0xaf85c93676290f09c0628f781a2eced00f1986e1

Realised P&L
$-1.3k
Volume
$116.4k
Markets traded
330
Open portfolio
$98.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded330
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration94.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0240.059$92.86+$54.56
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31? · Yes0.1090.028$2.94$8.52
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31? · Yes0.0590.030$2.48$2.40
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026? · No0.1000.000$0.00$13.06
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6420.000$0.00$6.60
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.4430.000$0.00$7.89
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 6AM ET · Up0.2500.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9AM ET · Up0.0660.000$0.00$13.19
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 10AM ET · Down0.0190.000$0.00$4.70
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5 · Over0.2700.000$0.00$8.43
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11AM ET · Up0.0670.000$0.00$8.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11AM ET · Down0.0400.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9AM ET · Down0.2500.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11AM ET · Up0.0730.000$0.00$11.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 10AM ET · Down0.2500.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 12:01Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?BUY0.0589395998$4.88
07-24 17:16Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?BUY0.1$13.06
07-24 17:12Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?SELL0.11$12.96
07-24 10:40Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?BUY0.1090111248$11.46
07-23 07:28Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?BUY0.0933627567$11.00
07-16 13:27Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9AM ETBUY0.169999976$4.74
07-16 13:10Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9AM ETBUY0.3299999814$9.38
07-14 15:56Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11AM ETBUY0.0083754108$2.09
07-14 15:56Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11AM ETBUY0.0086679705$3.94
07-14 15:33Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11AM ETBUY0.08$3.21
07-14 15:33Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11AM ETBUY0.05$5.00
07-14 15:31Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11AM ETBUY0.2099999716$4.95
07-14 15:30Israel closes its airspace by July 31?SELL0.15$5.30
07-13 13:34Israel closes its airspace by July 31?BUY0.1499999774$5.30
07-13 09:19Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5AM ETBUY0.2399999856$10.00