octaviafiruzeh
0xaf2eb1b3117ecac535560122068127fb30b352bc
- Realised P&L
- $2.2k
- Volume
- $14.1k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $234.48
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar15.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · No | 0.956 | 0.956 | $58.29 | −$0.03 |
| Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No | 0.986 | 0.968 | $57.08 | −$1.09 |
| Reya FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No | 0.966 | 0.945 | $47.01 | −$1.04 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat? · Yes | 0.976 | 0.948 | $42.64 | −$1.28 |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.954 | 0.946 | $16.07 | −$0.14 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · No | 0.955 | 0.979 | $13.38 | +$0.33 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$944.98at 0.400Yankees vs. Blue Jays
- +$860.00at 0.500Blue Jays vs. Pirates
- +$760.00at 0.500Solana Up or Down on July 12?
- +$691.94at 0.420Diamondbacks vs. Rangers
- +$504.00at 0.580Orioles vs. Rangers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 07:29 | Ethereum Up or Down on July 9? | BUY | 0.5 | $650.00 |
| 07-03 11:57 | XRP Up or Down on July 4? | BUY | 0.5 | $95.00 |
| 05-13 12:15 | Solana Up or Down on May 13? | BUY | 0.63 | $704.97 |