0xaf062d8a35352c40efce8d14ae55763d128c461e
- Realised P&L
- $-433.55
- Volume
- $71.9k
- Markets traded
- 708
- Open portfolio
- $50.97
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded708
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.565 | $27.12 | −$4.08 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July? · Yes | 0.325 | 0.265 | $23.85 | −$5.40 |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET · Down | 0.990 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$94.99 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET · Down | 0.850 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.98 |
| Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET · Up | 0.990 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET · Up | 0.970 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$72.99 |
| Solana Up or Down - March 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET · Down | 0.863 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$43.84 |
| Solana Up or Down - July 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET · Down | 0.990 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$439.99 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET · Up | 0.654 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$34.55 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET · Down | 0.978 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$43.92 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$59.86at 0.424Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
- +$21.51at 0.672Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
- +$20.55at 0.729Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
- +$14.65at 0.851Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8AM ET
- +$8.98at 0.980Solana Up or Down - July 1, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:23 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July? | SELL | 0.23 | $20.70 |
| 08-02 10:49 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $18.95 |
| 08-02 10:49 | Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%? | SELL | 0.2634391892 | $19.49 |
| 08-02 10:49 | Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%? | SELL | 0.27 | $19.98 |
| 08-01 22:40 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.33 | $12.21 |
| 08-01 22:39 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.33 | $23.43 |
| 08-01 22:39 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.33 | $12.21 |
| 08-01 14:46 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | SELL | 0.48 | $39.36 |
| 08-01 14:46 | Will "Hacks" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? | SELL | 0.46 | $26.22 |
| 08-01 13:00 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.35 | $40.25 |
| 07-31 20:18 | Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.51 | $27.03 |
| 07-31 16:27 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | SELL | 0.31 | $1.54 |
| 07-27 15:41 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.53 | $106.00 |
| 07-17 09:01 | Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in July? | SELL | 0.13 | $8.58 |
| 07-17 00:08 | Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in July? | SELL | 0.13 | $8.58 |