R24Rssa3
0xaebd3b89707085ad4998efbe23048b718942c462
- Realised P&L
- $-583.54
- Volume
- $653.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,611
- Open portfolio
- $159.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,611
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration27.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.22at 0.135Will Suriname qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$32.02at 0.489Will Bolivia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$29.38at 0.317Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 27m?
- +$18.43at 0.007Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in November?
- +$16.31at 0.333Will Iraq qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-29 14:04 | Will Nazmul Hassan be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 06-29 14:00 | Will Nazmul Hassan be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 06-25 15:32 | New Half-Life game by June 30? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 06-25 11:16 | New Half-Life game by June 30? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.04 |
| 06-25 11:08 | New Half-Life game by June 30? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.15 |
| 06-24 22:50 | Will Antony Barran advance to the general election for WA-03? | SELL | 0.123 | $1.16 |
| 06-24 21:45 | Will Antony Barran advance to the general election for WA-03? | SELL | 0.129 | $0.30 |
| 06-24 21:24 | Will Antony Barran advance to the general election for WA-03? | SELL | 0.129 | $0.65 |
| 06-24 19:06 | Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat? | SELL | 0.17 | $3.98 |
| 06-24 18:49 | Will the Democratic Party win the CO-08 House seat? | SELL | 0.27 | $1.92 |
| 06-24 18:46 | Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat? | SELL | 0.25 | $5.80 |
| 06-24 18:18 | Will the Republican Party win the IA-01 House seat? | SELL | 0.21 | $1.36 |
| 06-24 17:54 | Will the Republican Party win the IA-01 House seat? | SELL | 0.22 | $1.36 |
| 06-24 17:05 | Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.03 |
| 06-24 17:01 | Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.28 |