kakukakuk
0xae8ed7b545983d2ab0c2c8e08138568b6f504c85
- Realised P&L
- $-49.81
- Volume
- $6.9k
- Markets traded
- 150
- Open portfolio
- $140.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded150
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.19at 0.130Bitcoin Up or Down on June 27?
- +$35.31at 0.160Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Sweden?
- +$26.84at 0.130Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?
- +$20.88at 0.110Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 1 - 1 Uruguay?
- +$20.23at 0.176Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 2 New Zealand?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 12:51 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.9577572514 | $48.00 |
| 08-04 04:38 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.9549879485 | $70.08 |
| 08-04 04:38 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.9 | $0.46 |
| 08-03 14:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3? | BUY | 0.21 | $10.59 |
| 08-03 12:30 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.81 | $17.82 |
| 08-03 04:58 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.7 | $7.70 |
| 08-02 13:54 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.7780998748 | $32.76 |
| 08-02 04:03 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.7393846154 | $19.22 |
| 08-02 03:36 | Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-08-01? | SELL | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 08-02 03:35 | Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-08-01? | BUY | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 08-01 10:58 | BNB Up or Down on August 1? | BUY | 0.09 | $4.54 |
| 07-31 17:54 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on July 31? | BUY | 0.9556289919 | $96.00 |
| 07-31 10:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? | BUY | 0.07 | $2.30 |
| 07-30 06:33 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.7207409454 | $73.00 |
| 07-29 07:53 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.8462436452 | $84.80 |