PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

Legendb

0xae4a54cb936bfa16b15f3b12f8c4a3ec5d426f51

Realised P&L
$-305.21
Volume
$18.7k
Markets traded
287
Open portfolio
$104.55

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded287
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 August 3-9? · No0.9950.991$104.55$0.45
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00$51.80
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.6100.000$0.00$33.00
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? · Yes0.5700.000$0.00$49.73

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 04:58Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 August 3-9?BUY0.9953095391$105.00
08-01 08:34Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 July 27-August 2?BUY0.988$104.00
07-21 10:25Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 July 20-26?BUY0.9970987752$104.00
07-13 19:43Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 July 13-19?BUY0.998001996$100.00
06-22 16:39Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?BUY0.996$100.00
06-15 07:37Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?BUY0.92$36.00
06-14 07:31Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?BUY0.609999993$33.00
06-14 07:31Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.9409999987$33.00
06-14 07:30Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?BUY0.9099999992$33.00
06-13 06:59Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.5699999953$49.73
06-13 06:58Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?BUY0.5899999953$50.00
06-09 18:35Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?BUY0.8195858597$107.46
06-09 18:35Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.91$108.59
06-04 13:25Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.75$89.50
06-02 16:18MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.009$9.00