qqq-123
0xae09f898ac6191cc037f7e8d1aa7e7f85b5860fb
- Realised P&L
- $-80.14
- Volume
- $5.8k
- Markets traded
- 87
- Open portfolio
- $8.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded87
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.415 | $8.30 | +$0.90 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 1? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.66 |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on July 28? · Yes | 0.422 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.36 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 2? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 1? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 1? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.86 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 21? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.05 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 31? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.44at 0.517Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 25?
- +$9.00at 0.640Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 20?
- +$5.40at 0.430Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 22?
- +$5.02at 0.210Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 3?
- +$4.20at 0.540Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 05:37 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.37 | $7.40 |
| 08-03 21:40 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.56 | $11.20 |
| 08-03 14:12 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.48 | $9.60 |
| 08-03 13:26 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 12:13 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.143735 | $2.87 |
| 08-03 11:44 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 11:43 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.23 | $4.60 |
| 08-03 11:35 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.1371397849 | $5.10 |
| 08-03 09:28 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.23 | $2.30 |
| 08-03 09:26 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.23 | $2.30 |
| 08-03 09:26 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.232428412 | $4.00 |
| 08-03 08:34 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.19 | $3.80 |
| 08-03 04:31 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.26 | $5.20 |
| 08-02 18:41 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.50 |
| 08-02 18:41 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.265795 | $5.32 |